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The Falchion Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +125.07$

Invest 427.85$

Average return 552.92$

ROI +29.2%

Chance of profit 80%

With float: invest at least 1 063.69 $, profit at most −510.78 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −428 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

48.91 $

at 24.46

Steam

×1

USP-S | Spiral Glitch

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

27.43 $

at 27.43

Steam

×7

USP-S | Spiral Glitch

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

351.51 $

at 50.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 427.85 $ +125.07 (+29.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −305 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

122.28 $

at 24.46

Steam

×3

USP-S | Spiral Glitch

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1710

82.29 $

at 27.43

Steam

×2

USP-S | Spiral Glitch

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

100.43 $

at 50.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 305.00 $ +107.96 (+35.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −225 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

20.01 $

at 10.01

Steam

×5

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

122.28 $

at 24.46

Steam

×3

USP-S | Spiral Glitch

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1710

82.29 $

at 27.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 224.58 $ +95.08 (+42.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

best

AK-47 | AUTOEXEC

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

816.30 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

670.00 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

234.25 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

179.09 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 4 The Gallery Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +63.04 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +114.20 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 20 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2284329 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 148.31$ · invest 159.07$
profit on prices without salesat least −123 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New), USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear); USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.164838
Craft 2272477 · The Fracture Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 144.98$ · invest 152.47$
profit on prices without salesat least −114 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New), USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear); USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 1; USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.164838
Craft 2283620 · The Recoil Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 143.23$ · invest 164.04$
profit on prices without salesat least −115 $ rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New), USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear); USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 1; USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.164838
Craft 2279363 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 140.32$ · invest 166.17$
profit on prices without salesat least −118 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New), USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear); USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 1; USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164868 instead of 0.164838
Craft 2284001 · The Revolution Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 134.78$ · invest 175.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −124 $ rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New), USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear); USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 1; USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165916 instead of 0.164838
Craft 2271625 · The Fever Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 130.76$ · invest 410.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −386 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2269376 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 129.26$ · invest 410.55$
profit on prices without salesat least −388 $ rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2268275 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 128.73$ · invest 424.91$
profit on prices without salesat least −406 $ rare inputs

P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2285618 · The Spectrum Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 128.60$ · invest 416.96$
profit on prices without salesat least −388 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163269 instead of 0.164838; USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074615 instead of 0.075161
Craft 2267247 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 128.13$ · invest 399.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −389 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162896 instead of 0.164838; USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074485 instead of 0.075161
Craft 2282512 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 128.02$ · invest 415.45$
profit on prices without salesat least −400 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2281190 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 127.45$ · invest 484.95$
profit on prices without salesat least −485 $ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.164838; USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.075161
Craft 2278495 · The Huntsman Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 126.07$ · invest 452.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −445 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162896 instead of 0.164838; USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074485 instead of 0.075161
Craft 2285848 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 125.77$ · invest 440.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −399 $ rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.164838; USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.075161
Craft 2285477 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 125.71$ · invest 430.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −418 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2284843 · The Shadow Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 125.65$ · invest 443.19$
profit on prices without salesat least −443 $ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163680 instead of 0.164838; USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074758 instead of 0.075161
Craft 2285304 · The Snakebite Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 124.88$ · invest 411.25$
profit on prices without salesat least −402 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164594 instead of 0.164838; USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075076 instead of 0.075161
Craft 2274374 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 123.55$ · invest 431.95$
profit on prices without salesat least −408 $ rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2273510 · The Gallery Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 122.63$ · invest 422.28$
profit on prices without salesat least −394 $ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164300 instead of 0.164838; USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074974 instead of 0.075161
Craft 2276982 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 116.91$ · invest 554.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −555 $ rare inputs

AUG | Lil' Pig (Minimal Wear), AUG | Lil' Pig (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New), USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested); USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075075 instead of 0.075161

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build