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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +278.11₽

Invest 1 342.39₽

Average return 1 620.50₽

ROI +20.7%

Chance of profit 47%

With float: invest at least 3 419.97 ₽, profit at most −1 799.47 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

35.14 ₽

at 35.14

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

97.01 ₽

at 97.01

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1 210.24 ₽

at 151.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 342.39 ₽ +278.11 (+20.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

37.09 ₽

at 37.09

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

65.41 ₽

at 65.41

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

97.01 ₽

at 97.01

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

1 058.96 ₽

at 151.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 258.47 ₽ +259.72 (+20.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

148.36 ₽

at 37.09

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

158.14 ₽

at 79.07

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

151.28 ₽

at 151.28

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

507.15 ₽

at 169.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 964.93 ₽ +144.03 (+14.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 53%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

780.15 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 500.32 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

4 094.75 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

549.67 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

697.04 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

322.65 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

2 166.68 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

679.21 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.184624

157.92 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Genesis Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +49.24 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +224.59 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2285983 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 284.13₽ · invest 1 379.71₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.074574
Craft 2285126 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 281.13₽ · invest 1 371.72₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075343 instead of 0.074574
Craft 2273547 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 280.22₽ · invest 1 336.65₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163215 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074596 instead of 0.074574
Craft 2264726 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 277.94₽ · invest 1 351.30₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075343 instead of 0.074574
Craft 2280496 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 274.92₽ · invest 1 370.56₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Contaminant (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested)
Craft 2284870 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 273.99₽ · invest 1 336.54₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075343 instead of 0.074574
Craft 2282949 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 272.77₽ · invest 1 336.94₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Off World (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164322 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074981 instead of 0.074574
Craft 2278043 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 271.34₽ · invest 1 346.30₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested)
Craft 2275852 · The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 267.90₽ · invest 1 326.80₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.074574
Craft 2284351 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 266.74₽ · invest 1 343.08₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Yorick (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.074574
Craft 2260979 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 263.98₽ · invest 1 323.39₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Popdog (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075343 instead of 0.074574
Craft 2285330 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 263.05₽ · invest 1 341.84₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164578 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075070 instead of 0.074574
Craft 2271648 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 258.80₽ · invest 1 316.56₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167124 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075956 instead of 0.074574
Craft 2268299 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 258.55₽ · invest 1 328.75₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.074574
Craft 2265889 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 258.43₽ · invest 1 328.72₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165232 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075298 instead of 0.074574
Craft 2285331 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 257.89₽ · invest 1 341.84₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.074574
Craft 2282950 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 257.74₽ · invest 1 369.73₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165511 instead of 0.163150; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075395 instead of 0.074574

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build