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The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +37 397.50₸

Invest 18 480.99₸

Average return 55 878.50₸

ROI +202.4%

Chance of profit 56%

With float: invest at least 48 294.84 ₸, profit at most +7 583.71 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −17 295 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

659.97 ₸

at 659.97

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0859

17 821.02 ₸

at 1 980.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 480.99 ₸ +37 397.50 (+202.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 44%
About break-even 18%

about break-even

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21 980.57 ₸ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

290 951.28 ₸ 18.00%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.002702

8 755.90 ₸ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 885.87 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 364.70 ₸ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

3 725.79 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

8 854.68 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.007026

11 581.25 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 630.48 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146891

26 777.48 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Genesis Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +33 670.38 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +37 057.71 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 40 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2286123 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 556.49₸ · invest 18 622.80₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 524 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083505 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2274494 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 482.65₸ · invest 18 252.32₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 289 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.084498 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2282227 · The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 363.33₸ · invest 18 311.71₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 030 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.084620 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2286036 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 282.61₸ · invest 18 629.64₸
profit on prices without salesat least −16 851 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083967 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2285411 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 221.98₸ · invest 18 302.09₸
profit on prices without salesat least −16 861 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085767 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2275196 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 190.51₸ · invest 18 108.33₸
profit on prices without salesat least −16 818 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.084725 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2262652 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 181.47₸ · invest 18 112.60₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 094 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.084729 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2284445 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 163.79₸ · invest 18 445.98₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 154 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085767 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2263900 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 159.43₸ · invest 18 261.20₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 233 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085767 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2267375 · The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 130.04₸ · invest 17 972.83₸
profit on prices without salesat least −16 899 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.084891 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2264792 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 124.32₸ · invest 18 452.45₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 310 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085767 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2276568 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 111.94₸ · invest 18 368.96₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 143 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085713 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2279495 · The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 110.51₸ · invest 18 024.57₸
profit on prices without salesat least −16 898 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085911 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2284992 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 108.34₸ · invest 18 518.14₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 515 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085767 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2285217 · The Shattered Web Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 098.84₸ · invest 18 915.93₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 467 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.084362 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2269510 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 091.48₸ · invest 17 972.67₸
profit on prices without salesat least −16 917 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085829 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2272582 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 070.16₸ · invest 18 056.48₸
profit on prices without salesat least −16 938 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2282602 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 062.54₸ · invest 18 199.78₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 120 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085851 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2278118 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 052.23₸ · invest 18 360.89₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 156 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085813 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2268400 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 050.39₸ · invest 18 410.70₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 028 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.086025 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2285718 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 024.74₸ · invest 18 204.17₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 092 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085040 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2284142 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37 015.40₸ · invest 18 070.38₸
profit on prices without salesat least −16 993 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085950 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2274495 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36 995.32₸ · invest 18 252.32₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 220 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085713 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2265982 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36 991.13₸ · invest 18 134.14₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 108 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085813 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2275954 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36 981.05₸ · invest 18 489.01₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 094 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.086025 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2283043 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36 978.28₸ · invest 18 531.93₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 236 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085813 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2278575 · The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36 978.03₸ · invest 18 691.27₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 669 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085102 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2283750 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36 973.48₸ · invest 18 117.52₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 035 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2285583 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36 970.10₸ · invest 18 111.27₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 078 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085767 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2259916 · The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36 954.29₸ · invest 18 181.07₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 054 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085767 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2271749 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36 883.13₸ · invest 18 238.48₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 125 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.086025 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2273666 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36 878.95₸ · invest 18 527.76₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 129 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085913 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2261052 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36 834.28₸ · invest 18 401.03₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 396 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085864 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2280581 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36 755.13₸ · invest 19 118.19₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 905 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P250 | Contaminant (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2286159 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36 432.94₸ · invest 20 011.42₸
profit on prices without salesat least −19 090 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085767 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2281266 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36 406.83₸ · invest 20 001.53₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 682 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AUG | Plague (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085941 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2286093 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36 145.17₸ · invest 19 620.26₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 699 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085767 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2255949 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 35 982.03₸ · invest 20 806.40₸
profit on prices without salesat least −19 516 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P250 | Hive (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085457 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2280876 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 35 982.02₸ · invest 21 150.47₸
profit on prices without salesat least −20 229 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085713 instead of 0.085912
Craft 2256344 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 35 940.53₸ · invest 20 430.42₸
profit on prices without salesat least −19 218 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.085294 instead of 0.085912

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build