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The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +6 925.89₽

Invest 15 675.40₽

Average return 22 601.29₽

ROI +44.2%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 38 316.45 ₽, profit at most −15 715.16 ₽

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 465 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

604.99 ₽

at 604.99

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

3 268.23 ₽

at 1 089.41

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

11 802.18 ₽

at 1 967.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 675.40 ₽ +6 925.89 (+44.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 959 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

1 209.98 ₽

at 604.99

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

3 268.23 ₽

at 1 089.41

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

9 835.15 ₽

at 1 967.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 313.36 ₽ +6 389.26 (+44.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 452 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

1 814.97 ₽

at 604.99

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

3 268.23 ₽

at 1 089.41

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

7 868.12 ₽

at 1 967.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 951.32 ₽ +5 852.63 (+45.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 945 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

2 419.96 ₽

at 604.99

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

3 268.23 ₽

at 1 089.41

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

5 901.09 ₽

at 1 967.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11 589.28 ₽ +5 316.01 (+45.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 438 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

3 024.95 ₽

at 604.99

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

3 268.23 ₽

at 1 089.41

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

3 934.06 ₽

at 1 967.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 227.24 ₽ +4 779.38 (+46.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 000.00 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

9 349.91 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.021538

5 324.10 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.024615

7 356.43 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5 649.05 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6 247.63 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2284362 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7 425.10₽ · invest 16 001.73₽
profit on prices without salesat least −11 900 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074764 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.004168 instead of 0.005605
Craft 2263803 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7 000.09₽ · invest 16 828.71₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 170 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076674 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005840 instead of 0.005605
Craft 2275134 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6 929.31₽ · invest 16 675.73₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 474 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076325 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005534 instead of 0.005605
Craft 2283663 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6 901.20₽ · invest 15 839.15₽
profit on prices without salesat least −11 490 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076623 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005795 instead of 0.005605
Craft 2265904 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6 900.90₽ · invest 15 898.41₽
profit on prices without salesat least −11 923 ₽ rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076561 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005741 instead of 0.005605
Craft 2260990 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6 862.61₽ · invest 15 993.06₽
profit on prices without salesat least −11 529 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076497 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005685 instead of 0.005605
Craft 2279404 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6 859.97₽ · invest 15 869.24₽
profit on prices without salesat least −11 531 ₽ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076598 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005773 instead of 0.005605
Craft 2284044 · The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6 781.64₽ · invest 16 005.41₽
profit on prices without salesat least −11 610 ₽ rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076694 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005857 instead of 0.005605
Craft 2282155 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6 751.53₽ · invest 16 181.05₽
profit on prices without salesat least −11 640 ₽ rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075950 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005206 instead of 0.005605
Craft 2264734 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6 722.57₽ · invest 16 910.24₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 714 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076530 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005714 instead of 0.005605
Craft 2259875 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6 694.64₽ · invest 17 311.08₽
profit on prices without salesat least −11 697 ₽ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075950 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005206 instead of 0.005605

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build