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The Havoc Collection + The Mirage Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +28.19$

Invest 31.92$

Average return 60.11$

ROI +88.3%

Chance of profit 54%

With float: invest at least 76.34 $, profit at most −16.23 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −29 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

PP-Bizon | Death Rattle

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0840

1.13 $

at 1.13

Steam

×5

Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

10.35 $

at 2.07

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

20.44 $

at 5.11

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 31.92 $ +28.19 (+88.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

PP-Bizon | Death Rattle

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0841

5.64 $

at 1.13

Steam

×4

Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

8.28 $

at 2.07

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

5.11 $

at 5.11

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 19.03 $ +17.68 (+92.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 46%
About break-even 18%

in profit

Glock-18 | Groundwater

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

89.56 $ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Orange Peel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37.81 $ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Negev | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

17.01 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Gator Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

17.01 $ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

SSG 08 | Tropical Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

217.90 $ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Vault Heist

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

11.00 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rust Coat

Factory New

float up to 0.010810

9.00 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Phoenix Marker

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

8.53 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Houndstooth

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

5.73 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Havoc Collection + The Mirage Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Office Collection instead of The Havoc Collection Variant 5 The Office Collection instead of The Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Train Collection instead of The Havoc Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.94 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +26.30 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Havoc Collection and The Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2261592 · The Chop Shop Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 29.11$ · invest 34.65$
profit on prices without salesat least −32 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074604; Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New): float at most 0.003812 instead of 0.004029
Craft 2279740 · The Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 28.71$ · invest 30.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074604; Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New): float at most 0.004208 instead of 0.004029
Craft 2253801 · The Ancient Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 28.66$ · invest 31.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074604; Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New): float at most 0.003812 instead of 0.004029
Craft 2247753 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 28.62$ · invest 30.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074604; Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New): float at most 0.004208 instead of 0.004029
Craft 2250230 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 28.59$ · invest 30.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074634 instead of 0.074604; Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New): float at most 0.004055 instead of 0.004029
Craft 2277112 · The Harlequin Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 28.59$ · invest 30.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074604; Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New): float at most 0.004208 instead of 0.004029
Craft 2249312 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 28.57$ · invest 30.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074711 instead of 0.074604; Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New): float at most 0.004122 instead of 0.004029
Craft 2256791 · The Ascent Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 28.57$ · invest 30.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074604; Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New): float at most 0.004208 instead of 0.004029
Craft 2257995 · The Boreal Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 28.57$ · invest 30.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074604; Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New): float at most 0.004208 instead of 0.004029
Craft 2252809 · The Achroma Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 28.56$ · invest 30.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074604; Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New): float at most 0.004208 instead of 0.004029
Craft 2279726 · The Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 28.56$ · invest 30.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074764 instead of 0.074604; Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New): float at most 0.004169 instead of 0.004029
Craft 2248487 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 28.56$ · invest 30.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074711 instead of 0.074604; Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New): float at most 0.004122 instead of 0.004029
Craft 2254647 · The Anubis Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 28.55$ · invest 31.07$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074764 instead of 0.074604; Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New): float at most 0.004169 instead of 0.004029
Craft 2257506 · The Bank Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 28.54$ · invest 30.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

Negev | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074604; Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New): float at most 0.003812 instead of 0.004029
Craft 2251785 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 28.50$ · invest 31.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074711 instead of 0.074604; Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New): float at most 0.004122 instead of 0.004029
Craft 2266175 · The Control Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 28.47$ · invest 31.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −29 $ rare inputs

MP9 | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074604; Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New): float at most 0.003812 instead of 0.004029
Craft 2266057 · The Cobblestone Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 27.85$ · invest 34.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −32 $ rare inputs

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Briar (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074078 instead of 0.074604; Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New): float at most 0.003568 instead of 0.004029

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Havoc Collection + The Mirage Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build