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The Inferno Collection + The Italy Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +28.20$

Invest 28.14$

Average return 56.34$

ROI +100.2%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 71.29 $, profit at most −14.95 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −28 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Souvenir MAG-7 | Sand Dune

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

26.55 $

at 3.79

souvenirSteam

×3

AUG | Contractor

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

1.59 $

at 0.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28.14 $ +28.20 (+100.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Tornado

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

160.95 $ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Gunsmoke

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21.50 $ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

0.83 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Granite Marbleized

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6.23 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9.95 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.004054

0.26 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.25 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

0.25 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Inferno Collection + The Italy Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Inferno Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Inferno Collection Variant 5 The Office Collection instead of The Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Office Collection instead of The Italy Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8.02 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +27.79 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Inferno Collection and The Italy Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2278598 · The Inferno Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 27.97$ · invest 28.61$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New) instead of AUG | Contractor (Factory New)
Craft 2269609 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 27.76$ · invest 28.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Factory New) instead of AUG | Contractor (Factory New)
Craft 2278629 · The Inferno Collection + The Train Collection · profit 27.58$ · invest 28.90$
profit on prices without salesat least −28 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed (Factory New) instead of AUG | Contractor (Factory New)
Craft 2278614 · The Inferno Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 26.69$ · invest 35.55$
profit on prices without salesat least −36 $ rare inputs

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) instead of AUG | Contractor (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Inferno Collection + The Italy Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build