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The Italy Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +12.16$

Invest 51.86$

Average return 64.03$

ROI +23.4%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 131.67 $, profit at most −67.65 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −51 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

1.98 $

at 0.66

Steam

×7

MAG-7 | Memento

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0226

49.88 $

at 7.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.86 $ +12.16 (+23.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

at a loss

worst

AWP | Pit Viper

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085675

1.70 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

132.14 $ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Splash

Factory New

float up to 0.061621

74.63 $ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

106.60 $ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Italy Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.28 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12.31 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Italy Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2277441 · The Harlequin Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.50$ · invest 52.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −50 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022696 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2269486 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.39$ · invest 50.73$
profit on prices without salesat least −50 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022643 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2282582 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.38$ · invest 51.39$
profit on prices without salesat least −50 $ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New)
Craft 2253106 · The Achroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.29$ · invest 52.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −50 $ rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022691 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2285563 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.26$ · invest 51.11$
profit on prices without salesat least −50 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2284693 · The Safehouse Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.25$ · invest 45.59$
profit on prices without salesat least −41 $ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022623 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2259903 · The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.10$ · invest 51.60$
profit on prices without salesat least −51 $ rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2285949 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 12.96$ · invest 62.04$
profit on prices without salesat least −60 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022514 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2261033 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 12.63$ · invest 52.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −51 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022674 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2285702 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 12.47$ · invest 52.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −51 $ rare inputs

P250 | Ripple (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2276545 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 12.46$ · invest 62.16$
profit on prices without salesat least −58 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022545 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2280553 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 12.38$ · invest 57.71$
profit on prices without salesat least −54 $ rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New)
Craft 2249619 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 12.13$ · invest 81.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −81 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir P250 | Black & Tan (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2286070 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 12.00$ · invest 56.64$
profit on prices without salesat least −52 $ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2285185 · The Shattered Web Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 11.95$ · invest 58.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −54 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022545 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2282202 · The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 11.89$ · invest 45.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −43 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022623 instead of 0.022662

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Italy Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build