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The Norse Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −344.79$

Invest 354.82$

Average return 10.03$

ROI −97.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 770.82 $, profit at most −760.79 $

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3851

336.27 $

at 336.27

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

10.25 $

at 1.71

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

8.30 $

at 2.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 354.82 $ −344.79 (−97.2%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 70.0% of the chance

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3851

336.27 $

at 336.27

Steam

×6

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

2 460.05 $

at 410.01

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

1.71 $

at 1.71

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

5.54 $

at 2.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 803.56 $ −2 800.22 (−99.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

P250 | Cartel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

13.07 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

10.57 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

best

XM1014 | Tranquility

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

14.80 $ 30.00%

Steam

Negev | Mjölnir

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Norse Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Norse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −346.14 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −345.13 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Norse Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Norse Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build