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The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1 217.04₸

Invest 3 080.00₸

Average return 4 297.04₸

ROI +39.5%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 7 420.06 ₸, profit at most −3 123.08 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

1 375.42 ₸

at 343.86

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

138.97 ₸

at 138.97

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1 565.60 ₸

at 313.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 080.00 ₸ +1 217.04 (+39.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

274.21 ₸

at 274.21

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1 375.42 ₸

at 343.86

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

277.95 ₸

at 138.97

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

939.36 ₸

at 313.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 866.94 ₸ +1 178.82 (+41.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 10%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

4 086.23 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 817.85 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

8 387.91 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162999

1 581.26 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 255.11 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

about break-even

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

3 402.04 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.026599

2 593.48 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +513.83 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +949.09 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2258310 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 526.01₸ · invest 1 693.03₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161950 instead of 0.162739; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074156 instead of 0.074431
Craft 2257093 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 494.45₸ · invest 2 678.04₸
rare inputs

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161950 instead of 0.162739; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074156 instead of 0.074431
Craft 2283269 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 368.20₸ · invest 2 250.00₸
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164389 instead of 0.162739; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075004 instead of 0.074431
Craft 2253071 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 327.44₸ · invest 2 377.43₸
rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162205 instead of 0.162739; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074245 instead of 0.074431
Craft 2258312 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 317.68₸ · invest 1 693.03₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165168 instead of 0.162739; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075275 instead of 0.074431
Craft 2285484 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 310.84₸ · invest 1 751.61₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164389 instead of 0.162739; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075004 instead of 0.074431
Craft 2272487 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 290.17₸ · invest 2 310.08₸
rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166018 instead of 0.162739; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075571 instead of 0.074431
Craft 2269383 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 285.93₸ · invest 2 218.57₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164855 instead of 0.162739; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075167 instead of 0.074431
Craft 2282520 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 281.10₸ · invest 2 615.82₸
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165151 instead of 0.162739; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075270 instead of 0.074431
Craft 2269384 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 273.26₸ · invest 1 521.98₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164955 instead of 0.162739; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075201 instead of 0.074431
Craft 2275110 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 264.88₸ · invest 1 905.55₸
rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165168 instead of 0.162739; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075275 instead of 0.074431
Craft 2253072 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 228.31₸ · invest 3 074.01₸
rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165606 instead of 0.162739; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075428 instead of 0.074431
Craft 2285485 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 211.70₸ · invest 2 448.20₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164085 instead of 0.162739; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074899 instead of 0.074431

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build