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The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +5.23$

Invest 12.89$

Average return 18.12$

ROI +40.6%

Chance of profit 78%

With float: invest at least 31.57 $, profit at most −13.44 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

0.86 $

at 0.86

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

8.65 $

at 1.08

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

3.38 $

at 3.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.89 $ +5.23 (+40.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

6.49 $

at 1.08

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

6.76 $

at 3.38

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

9.65 $

at 4.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.90 $ +0.31 (+1.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

7.57 $

at 1.08

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

6.76 $

at 3.38

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

4.83 $

at 4.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.16 $ +2.36 (+12.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

7.57 $

at 1.08

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

1.51 $

at 1.51

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

6.76 $

at 3.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.84 $ +3.98 (+25.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 78%
Losing outcome 22%

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

21.85 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

25.00 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127777

17.18 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.021111

11.54 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.041111

59.27 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

float up to 0.027777

17.50 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.02 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.94 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2255830 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 5.25$ · invest 13.63$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167449 instead of 0.166355; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076069 instead of 0.075688

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build