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The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +984.73₽

Invest 1 165.68₽

Average return 2 150.41₽

ROI +84.5%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 2 980.24 ₽, profit at most −829.83 ₽

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −996 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

15.40 ₽

at 15.40

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

75.00 ₽

at 75.00

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1 075.28 ₽

at 134.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 165.68 ₽ +984.73 (+84.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −775 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

30.80 ₽

at 15.40

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

32.25 ₽

at 32.25

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

75.00 ₽

at 75.00

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

806.46 ₽

at 134.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 944.51 ₽ +765.20 (+81.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

781.94 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

7 012.62 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

2 520.25 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

590.69 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

311.42 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

125.75 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

128.95 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

265.74 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

129.90 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +530.50 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +779.89 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 47 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2274396 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 042.14₽ · invest 1 191.15₽
profit on prices without salesat least −945 ₽ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2280493 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 041.72₽ · invest 1 276.28₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 009 ₽ rare inputs

M249 | Deep Relief (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2285832 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 038.60₽ · invest 1 232.23₽
profit on prices without salesat least −974 ₽ rare inputs

AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2282945 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 032.81₽ · invest 1 194.68₽
profit on prices without salesat least −948 ₽ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2255634 · The Arabesque Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 029.61₽ · invest 1 228.38₽
profit on prices without salesat least −951 ₽ rare inputs

FAMAS | Snake Song (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2284865 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 023.67₽ · invest 1 192.85₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 015 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2247973 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 018.08₽ · invest 1 213.89₽
profit on prices without salesat least −963 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163661 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074751 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2285776 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 013.60₽ · invest 1 191.80₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 013 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2285980 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 1 011.50₽ · invest 1 265.28₽
profit on prices without salesat least −969 ₽ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2278040 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 007.03₽ · invest 1 210.81₽
profit on prices without salesat least −989 ₽ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2268295 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 001.89₽ · invest 1 169.95₽
profit on prices without salesat least −979 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2285325 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1 001.88₽ · invest 1 181.23₽
profit on prices without salesat least −979 ₽ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2275848 · The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 999.44₽ · invest 1 170.58₽
profit on prices without salesat least −987 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2284348 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 998.94₽ · invest 1 189.78₽
profit on prices without salesat least −989 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2273540 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 998.91₽ · invest 1 184.18₽
profit on prices without salesat least −982 ₽ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2281600 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 992.43₽ · invest 1 200.28₽
profit on prices without salesat least −988 ₽ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167146 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075963 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2283289 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 990.37₽ · invest 1 208.37₽
profit on prices without salesat least −990 ₽ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167146 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075963 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2270717 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 989.47₽ · invest 1 203.00₽
profit on prices without salesat least −991 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2271644 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 988.35₽ · invest 1 165.68₽
profit on prices without salesat least −992 ₽ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2279383 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 988.24₽ · invest 1 163.60₽
profit on prices without salesat least −992 ₽ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2260976 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 988.17₽ · invest 1 191.38₽
profit on prices without salesat least −997 ₽ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2262562 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 986.93₽ · invest 1 178.60₽
profit on prices without salesat least −994 ₽ rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165242 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075301 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2272503 · The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 986.74₽ · invest 1 166.54₽
profit on prices without salesat least −994 ₽ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2264723 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 986.65₽ · invest 1 226.11₽
profit on prices without salesat least −994 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167146 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075963 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2269396 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 985.00₽ · invest 1 163.81₽
profit on prices without salesat least −996 ₽ rare inputs

P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2282139 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 984.29₽ · invest 1 201.58₽
profit on prices without salesat least −996 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164999 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075217 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2284026 · The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 984.10₽ · invest 1 163.68₽
profit on prices without salesat least −997 ₽ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2282531 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 984.10₽ · invest 1 183.06₽
profit on prices without salesat least −997 ₽ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2263789 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 983.68₽ · invest 1 198.24₽
profit on prices without salesat least −997 ₽ rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167146 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075963 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2275121 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 982.97₽ · invest 1 192.26₽
profit on prices without salesat least −998 ₽ rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167286 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076012 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2258331 · The Boreal Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 981.08₽ · invest 1 182.32₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 000 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167286 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076012 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2265884 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 979.68₽ · invest 1 172.14₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 001 ₽ rare inputs

MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2257114 · The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 979.60₽ · invest 1 228.39₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 001 ₽ rare inputs

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167286 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076012 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2277419 · The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 977.82₽ · invest 1 222.73₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 003 ₽ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167350 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076035 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2267273 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 976.84₽ · invest 1 179.78₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 004 ₽ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165531 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075402 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2285498 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 975.19₽ · invest 1 180.88₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 006 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Morris (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2253085 · The Achroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 971.79₽ · invest 1 214.33₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 009 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167340 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076031 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2259863 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 968.44₽ · invest 1 197.02₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 026 ₽ rare inputs

P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2285920 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 968.43₽ · invest 1 169.95₽
profit on prices without salesat least −897 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164246 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074955 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2285640 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 963.41₽ · invest 1 201.04₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 017 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165771 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075485 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2269815 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 958.74₽ · invest 1 192.26₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 022 ₽ rare inputs

SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2277019 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 949.17₽ · invest 1 243.28₽
profit on prices without salesat least −956 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161818 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074110 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2279622 · The Lake Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 949.08₽ · invest 1 190.21₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 032 ₽ rare inputs

SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163661 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074751 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2284866 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 947.54₽ · invest 1 183.47₽
profit on prices without salesat least −961 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166600 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075774 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2278510 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 941.29₽ · invest 1 269.38₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 092 ₽ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2278776 · The Italy Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 939.91₽ · invest 1 206.35₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 041 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167286 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076012 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2276499 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 938.09₽ · invest 1 228.28₽
profit on prices without salesat least −927 ₽ rare inputs

MP7 | Cirrus (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164322 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074981 instead of 0.074106

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build