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The Recoil Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2 753.46₸

Invest 24 165.26₸

Average return 26 918.72₸

ROI +11.4%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 58 184.62 ₸, profit at most −31 265.90 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×8

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

13 924.82 ₸

at 1 740.60

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

2 819.37 ₸

at 2 819.37

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3835

7 421.08 ₸

at 7 421.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 165.26 ₸ +2 753.46 (+11.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 598 ₸

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×8

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

13 924.82 ₸

at 1 740.60

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3835

7 421.08 ₸

at 7 421.08

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

9 147.30 ₸

at 9 147.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30 493.20 ₸ +812.20 (+2.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122499

21 514.33 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.148749

30 309.43 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.323499

101 999.28 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

50 717.52 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 only The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −145.87 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 560.42 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2283560 · The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 2 842.49₸ · invest 22 537.18₸
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Well-Worn); Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164697 instead of 0.161557; Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075112 instead of 0.074020
Craft 2282311 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 2 761.35₸ · invest 20 443.74₸
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Well-Worn); Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.161557; Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.074020

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build