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The Safehouse Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +92.46₴

Invest 420.76₴

Average return 513.21₴

ROI +22.0%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 1 043.48 ₴, profit at most −530.27 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×9

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

286.49 ₴

at 31.83

Steam

×1

Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

134.27 ₴

at 134.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 420.76 ₴ +92.46 (+22.0%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 5%

in profit

M4A1-S | Nitro

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

560.47 ₴ 90.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Blue Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.025135

1 220.91 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

494.48 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Safehouse Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 only The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.51 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +28.92 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Safehouse Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2276903 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 99.00₴ · invest 410.92₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005591 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2284679 · The Safehouse Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 91.45₴ · invest 399.70₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005668 instead of 0.005405

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Safehouse Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

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How to build