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The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +14 324.48₸

Invest 17 135.61₸

Average return 31 460.09₸

ROI +83.6%

Chance of profit 48%

With float: invest at least 43 463.05 ₸, profit at most −12 002.96 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 638 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

862.02 ₸

at 862.02

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

1 273.33 ₸

at 1 273.33

Steam

×8

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

15 000.27 ₸

at 1 875.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17 135.61 ₸ +14 324.48 (+83.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −357 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

4 672.96 ₸

at 1 168.24

Steam

×4

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

10 437.63 ₸

at 2 609.41

Steam

×2

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

3 750.07 ₸

at 1 875.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 860.66 ₸ +8 838.83 (+46.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 052 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

4 672.96 ₸

at 1 168.24

Steam

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

7 828.22 ₸

at 2 609.41

Steam

×3

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

5 625.10 ₸

at 1 875.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 126.29 ₸ +10 110.45 (+55.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 747 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

4 672.96 ₸

at 1 168.24

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

5 218.81 ₸

at 2 609.41

Steam

×4

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

7 500.13 ₸

at 1 875.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17 391.91 ₸ +11 382.07 (+65.4%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 29%
About break-even 22%

at a loss

worst

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090833

13 160.41 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

82 288.95 ₸ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 386.14 ₸ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090833

19 352.15 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.055416

59 158.30 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.037499

18 156.11 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.026666

14 542.08 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 only The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10 980.11 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +14 275.46 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2281268 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 13 936.96₸ · invest 18 157.61₸
profit on prices without salesat least −11 099 ₸ rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); P90 | Virus (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162346 instead of 0.163050; P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074294 instead of 0.074539
Craft 2282231 · The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 13 653.12₸ · invest 17 552.38₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 955 ₸ rare inputs

SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); P90 | Virus (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162224 instead of 0.163050; P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074251 instead of 0.074539
Craft 2278577 · The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 13 645.50₸ · invest 19 275.98₸
profit on prices without salesat least −10 931 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); P90 | Virus (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167401 instead of 0.163050; P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076052 instead of 0.074539
Craft 2275200 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 13 543.24₸ · invest 17 090.55₸
profit on prices without salesat least −10 130 ₸ rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); P90 | Virus (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162346 instead of 0.163050; P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074294 instead of 0.074539
Craft 2253118 · The Achroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 13 516.37₸ · invest 17 208.52₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 920 ₸ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); P90 | Virus (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165500 instead of 0.163050; P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075391 instead of 0.074539
Craft 2286095 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 13 418.80₸ · invest 17 767.04₸
profit on prices without salesat least −11 000 ₸ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); P90 | Virus (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162703 instead of 0.163050; P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074418 instead of 0.074539
Craft 2259917 · The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 13 352.12₸ · invest 17 526.08₸
profit on prices without salesat least −10 094 ₸ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); P90 | Virus (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171418 instead of 0.163050; P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077450 instead of 0.074539
Craft 2285585 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 13 211.85₸ · invest 16 907.43₸
profit on prices without salesat least −10 283 ₸ rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); P90 | Virus (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162346 instead of 0.163050; P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074294 instead of 0.074539
Craft 2268404 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 13 161.20₸ · invest 17 089.48₸
profit on prices without salesat least −9 275 ₸ rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); P90 | Virus (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171418 instead of 0.163050; P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077450 instead of 0.074539
Craft 2273670 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 13 131.41₸ · invest 16 966.60₸
profit on prices without salesat least −9 638 ₸ rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); P90 | Virus (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166788 instead of 0.163050; P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075839 instead of 0.074539
Craft 2275959 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 13 109.41₸ · invest 16 908.92₸
profit on prices without salesat least −9 730 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); P90 | Virus (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171418 instead of 0.163050; P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077450 instead of 0.074539
Craft 2258367 · The Boreal Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 13 101.98₸ · invest 17 048.59₸
profit on prices without salesat least −9 334 ₸ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); P90 | Virus (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164644 instead of 0.163050; P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075093 instead of 0.074539
Craft 2270829 · The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 13 046.65₸ · invest 16 753.70₸
profit on prices without salesat least −10 060 ₸ rare inputs

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); P90 | Virus (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173659 instead of 0.163050; P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078229 instead of 0.074539
Craft 2261054 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 13 028.86₸ · invest 16 743.33₸
profit on prices without salesat least −10 257 ₸ rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); P90 | Virus (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166788 instead of 0.163050; P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075839 instead of 0.074539
Craft 2285803 · The Sport & Field Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 12 941.62₸ · invest 17 494.43₸
profit on prices without salesat least −10 430 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); P90 | Virus (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164937 instead of 0.163050; P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075195 instead of 0.074539

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build