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The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +150.44₴

Invest 730.52₴

Average return 880.96₴

ROI +20.6%

Chance of profit 47%

With float: invest at least 1 853.46 ₴, profit at most −972.51 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

51.36 ₴

at 51.36

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

640.79 ₴

at 80.10

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

38.37 ₴

at 38.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 730.52 ₴ +150.44 (+20.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

71.17 ₴

at 71.17

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

560.69 ₴

at 80.10

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

76.73 ₴

at 38.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 708.59 ₴ +141.15 (+19.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −339 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

80.10 ₴

at 80.10

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

179.02 ₴

at 89.51

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

115.10 ₴

at 38.37

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

285.20 ₴

at 71.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 659.41 ₴ +34.23 (+5.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 53%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

413.07 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 323.85 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

2 168.06 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

291.04 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 560.50 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.053374

516.96 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

539.18 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.039374

372.60 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

460.64 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +23.00 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +120.09 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2285126 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 148.85₴ · invest 726.29₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.168561; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075343 instead of 0.076456
Craft 2273547 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 148.37₴ · invest 707.72₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163215 instead of 0.168561; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074596 instead of 0.076456
Craft 2270722 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 147.25₴ · invest 710.76₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163150 instead of 0.168561; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074574 instead of 0.076456
Craft 2264726 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 147.16₴ · invest 715.48₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.168561; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075343 instead of 0.076456
Craft 2280496 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 145.56₴ · invest 725.68₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Contaminant (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163150 instead of 0.168561; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074574 instead of 0.076456
Craft 2284870 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 145.07₴ · invest 707.66₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.168561; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075343 instead of 0.076456
Craft 2282949 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 144.42₴ · invest 707.87₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Off World (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164322 instead of 0.168561; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074981 instead of 0.076456
Craft 2278043 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 143.67₴ · invest 712.83₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163150 instead of 0.168561; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074574 instead of 0.076456
Craft 2275852 · The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 141.84₴ · invest 702.51₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested)
Craft 2284351 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 141.23₴ · invest 711.13₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Yorick (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested)
Craft 2260979 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 139.77₴ · invest 700.70₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Popdog (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.168561; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075343 instead of 0.076456
Craft 2285330 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 139.28₴ · invest 710.47₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164578 instead of 0.168561; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075070 instead of 0.076456
Craft 2271648 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 137.03₴ · invest 697.08₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167124 instead of 0.168561; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075956 instead of 0.076456
Craft 2268299 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 136.90₴ · invest 703.54₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested)
Craft 2265889 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 136.83₴ · invest 703.52₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165232 instead of 0.168561; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075298 instead of 0.076456
Craft 2285331 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 136.55₴ · invest 710.47₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested)
Craft 2282950 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 136.47₴ · invest 725.24₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165511 instead of 0.168561; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075395 instead of 0.076456

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build