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The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2 929.33₽

Invest 3 534.85₽

Average return 6 464.18₽

ROI +82.9%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 8 672.08 ₽, profit at most −2 207.90 ₽

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 535 ₽

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×7

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Lapis Gator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

2 356.27 ₽

at 336.61

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0838

1 178.58 ₽

at 392.86

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 534.85 ₽ +2 929.33 (+82.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 70%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.010810

2 947.27 ₽ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.008243

976.36 ₽ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

3 495.34 ₽ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.006081

703.71 ₽ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

870.00 ₽ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

53 250.00 ₽ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Factory New

float up to 0.061621

8 498.32 ₽ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 only The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 692.53 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 898.91 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build