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The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +66.93$

Invest 80.78$

Average return 147.71$

ROI +82.9%

Chance of profit 83%

With float: invest at least 199.52 $, profit at most −51.81 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −81 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

41.44 $

at 8.29

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

39.33 $

at 7.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 80.78 $ +66.93 (+82.9%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 67%
Losing outcome 17%
About break-even 17%

about break-even

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

94.32 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.010270

122.88 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

86.68 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190.28 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

185.01 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

134.33 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

444.12 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 only The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +53.48 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +65.33 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2284453 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 79.40$ · invest 83.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −83 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074100
Craft 2261056 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 76.41$ · invest 64.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −62 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074100
Craft 2273673 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 76.33$ · invest 70.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −70 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074100
Craft 2285416 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 74.40$ · invest 63.11$
profit on prices without salesat least −63 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074100
Craft 2275963 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 72.40$ · invest 80.78$
profit on prices without salesat least −81 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074100
Craft 2268408 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 71.13$ · invest 79.23$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074100
Craft 2282607 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 69.39$ · invest 71.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074100
Craft 2278579 · The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 67.08$ · invest 103.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −103 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Torque (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074100
Craft 2282235 · The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 61.31$ · invest 100.72$
profit on prices without salesat least −98 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074218 instead of 0.074100
Craft 2275202 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 61.01$ · invest 69.00$
profit on prices without salesat least −62 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074100

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build