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The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +109 540.74₸

Invest 78 928.28₸

Average return 188 469.02₸

ROI +138.8%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 204 878.86 ₸, profit at most −16 409.84 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 480 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

5 750.02 ₸

at 5 750.02

Steam

×9

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

73 178.26 ₸

at 8 130.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 78 928.28 ₸ +109 540.74 (+138.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −15 667 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

70 136.70 ₸

at 10 019.53

Steam

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

14 007.19 ₸

at 14 007.19

Steam

×2

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

16 261.84 ₸

at 8 130.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 100 405.73 ₸ +28 765.48 (+28.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 085 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

80 156.23 ₸

at 10 019.53

Steam

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

14 007.19 ₸

at 14 007.19

Steam

×1

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

8 130.92 ₸

at 8 130.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 102 294.34 ₸ +18 405.73 (+18.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

340 313.76 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

112 648.53 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

215 463.00 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

42 663.58 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 only The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +74 901.71 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +84 622.82 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2255003 · The Anubis Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 117 386.96₸ · invest 94 994.16₸
profit on prices without salesat least −50 914 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Apep's Curse (Field-Tested) instead of AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested)
Craft 2280595 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 109 087.41₸ · invest 83 057.75₸
profit on prices without salesat least −38 978 ₸ rare inputs

M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) instead of AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested); P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074252 instead of 0.074334
Craft 2276579 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 109 046.62₸ · invest 88 602.03₸
profit on prices without salesat least −37 480 ₸ rare inputs

FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) instead of AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested); P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074683 instead of 0.074334

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build