The Kilowatt Collection + The CS20 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −2 535.59₴

Invest 15 784.41₴

Average return 13 248.82₴

ROI −16.1%

Chance of profit 14%

With float: invest at least 36 611.32 ₴, profit at most −23 362.49 ₴

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −3 677.43 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

3 506.35 ₴

at 3 506.35

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

12 278.05 ₴

at 3 069.51

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 15 784.41 ₴ −2 535.59 (−16.1%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 14%
Losing outcome 74%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

12 566.92 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

10 808.29 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

9 413.95 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

12 946.58 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

29 938.84 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 051.66 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 728.91 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

80 914.60 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 882.06 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 345.87 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

10 340.98 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

7 788.92 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

6 289.31 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7 484.32 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

4 945.17 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

10 374.18 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 779.57 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 958.14 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 936.58 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 944.96 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 584.86 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 337.80 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 461.91 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Kukri Knife

no wear

4 090.68 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Kilowatt Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3 821.09 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −2 427.12 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2286843 · The CS20 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit −2 535.58₴ · invest 15 784.41₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2286808 · The Chroma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −2 615.51₴ · invest 18 819.21₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007507
Craft 2286809 · The CS20 Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −2 615.51₴ · invest 18 819.21₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007507

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Kilowatt Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build