The Breakout Collection + The CS20 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −34 004.50₸

Invest 164 676.37₸

Average return 130 671.87₸

ROI −20.6%

Chance of profit 26%

With float: invest 362 182.42 ₸, profit −231 510.55 ₸

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −80 677.70 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2249

86 678.73 ₸

at 86 678.73

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2249

77 997.63 ₸

at 19 499.41

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 164 676.37 ₸ −34 004.50 (−20.6%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 62%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.035999

233 584.10 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122499

78 880.76 ₸ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

90 718.08 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

60 000.06 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

90 867.96 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

50 779.15 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

39 140.89 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

117 729.11 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

39 014.42 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

49 993.79 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

128 993.75 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.035999

914 780.40 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122499

815 491.71 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

566 862.92 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

380 956.75 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

358 459.82 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

245 228.19 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

255 607.50 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

284 744.15 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

427 613.92 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

199 072.24 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

190 573.57 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

339 220.72 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

477 150.85 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −43 314.72 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −34 654.15 ₸ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The CS20 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2289560 · The CS20 Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −34 004.51₸ · invest 164 676.37₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2289561 · The CS20 Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −36 541.88₸ · invest 164 676.37₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.263513 instead of 0.224999; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested): float at most 0.263513 instead of 0.224999
Craft 2289566 · The Breakout Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −36 541.88₸ · invest 164 676.37₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested): float at most 0.263513 instead of 0.224999; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.263513 instead of 0.224999

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build