The Operation Riptide Collection + The Breakout Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −134 977.67₸

Invest 401 546.31₸

Average return 266 568.64₸

ROI −33.6%

Chance of profit 19%

With float: invest 404 214.03 ₸, profit −137 645.39 ₸

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −202 313.18 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 3 contracts · medium (by listings)

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Battle-Scarred

any lot

48 096.30 ₸

at 48 096.30

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Field-Tested

any lot

86 678.73 ₸

at 86 678.73

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Battle-Scarred

any lot

266 771.27 ₸

at 88 923.76

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 401 546.31 ₸ −134 977.67 (−33.6%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 19%
Losing outcome 73%
Above the Steam cap 7%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076160

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.248000

815 491.71 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

321 706.35 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

372 375.93 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

507 938.47 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764480

245 228.19 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764480

255 607.50 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764480

374 162.18 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764480

290 238.78 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764480

193 545.60 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764480

307 347.50 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764480

339 220.72 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

477 150.85 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076160

727 863.99 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.456960

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

355 553.38 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.809200

403 891.77 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

266 076.08 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.476000

266 574.57 ₸ 0.67%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076160

147 526.80 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.456960

45 920.39 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.618800

51 997.21 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.809200

57 761.39 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

32 070.56 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.476000

35 996.01 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076160

46 508.89 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.456960

29 505.36 ₸ 0.67%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

33 407.28 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.809200

26 000.37 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

20 130.89 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.476000

22 998.95 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076160

103 726.68 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.456960

35 989.06 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

48 470.20 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.809200

37 416.43 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

29 043.64 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.476000

29 932.97 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076160

130 932.07 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.456960

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.618800

41 995.32 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.809200

54 796.85 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

34 778.00 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.476000

27 777.53 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 48 096.30 → 48 096.30 ₸

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 86 678.73 → 86 678.73 ₸

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) × 3 100% of the wear range fits ×1.01 266 771.27 → 269 438.99 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.952000000

outcomes come out up to 0.076160, 0.248000, 0.952000, 0.952000, 0.952000, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.000000, 0.076160, 0.456960, 0.952000, 0.809200, 0.952000, 0.476000, 0.076160, 0.456960, 0.618800, 0.809200, 0.952000, 0.476000, 0.076160, 0.456960, 0.952000, 0.809200, 0.952000, 0.476000, 0.076160, 0.456960, 0.952000, 0.809200, 0.952000, 0.476000, 0.076160, 0.456960, 0.618800, 0.809200, 0.952000, 0.476000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Riptide Collection + The Breakout Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −155 803.43 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −135 446.87 ₸ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Operation Riptide Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2289779 · The Vanguard Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −130 869.79₸ · invest 407 808.82₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2289784 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit −130 869.79₸ · invest 407 808.82₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2289700 · The Breakout Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −134 977.69₸ · invest 401 546.31₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2289657 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −140 589.03₸ · invest 418 661.13₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2289662 · The Breakout Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −140 589.03₸ · invest 418 661.13₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Riptide Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build