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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +59.34₽

Invest 549.55₽

Average return 608.89₽

ROI +10.8%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 1 335.05 ₽, profit at most −726.16 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

344.24 ₽

at 43.03

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

142.06 ₽

at 142.06

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

63.25 ₽

at 63.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 549.55 ₽ +59.34 (+10.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 68%
About break-even 2%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 122.80 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

517.46 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

533.18 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Valence

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111999

591.16 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085399

249.61 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

473.23 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

464.01 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

631.66 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Cache Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −32.15 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +39.50 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2297128 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 61.25₽ · invest 577.06₽
rare inputs

MP7 | Guerrilla (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested)
Craft 2297283 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 58.66₽ · invest 547.60₽
rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.076302; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004399 instead of 0.005515

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build