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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +649.42₽

Invest 961.10₽

Average return 1 610.52₽

ROI +67.6%

Chance of profit 64%

With float: invest at least 2 259.16 ₽, profit at most −648.64 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

215.15 ₽

at 43.03

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

568.24 ₽

at 142.06

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

177.71 ₽

at 177.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 961.10 ₽ +649.42 (+67.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

215.15 ₽

at 43.03

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

426.18 ₽

at 142.06

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

177.71 ₽

at 177.71

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0848

292.91 ₽

at 292.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 111.95 ₽ +483.56 (+43.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

215.15 ₽

at 43.03

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

284.12 ₽

at 142.06

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

177.71 ₽

at 177.71

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0847

585.82 ₽

at 292.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 262.80 ₽ +317.70 (+25.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −142 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

215.15 ₽

at 43.03

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

142.06 ₽

at 142.06

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

177.71 ₽

at 177.71

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0846

878.73 ₽

at 292.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 413.65 ₽ +151.84 (+10.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 34%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

1 122.80 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 952.11 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

533.18 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133999

399.89 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133999

2 947.61 ₽ 2.00%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.019999

3 886.27 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.007999

910.14 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133999

339.77 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Cache Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +380.51 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +517.46 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2297272 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 662.49₽ · invest 869.72₽
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074148 instead of 0.075591; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003629 instead of 0.004892
Craft 2297290 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 661.77₽ · invest 825.27₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076588 instead of 0.075591; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005764 instead of 0.004892
Craft 2297382 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 656.66₽ · invest 896.64₽
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075833 instead of 0.075591; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005104 instead of 0.004892
Craft 2296881 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 654.23₽ · invest 831.48₽
rare inputs

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074281 instead of 0.075591; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003746 instead of 0.004892
Craft 2296636 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 646.60₽ · invest 972.49₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079821 instead of 0.075591; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.008593 instead of 0.004892
Craft 2297051 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 637.12₽ · invest 902.49₽
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074503 instead of 0.075591; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003940 instead of 0.004892
Craft 2297179 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 633.54₽ · invest 881.33₽
rare inputs

FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074183 instead of 0.075591; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003660 instead of 0.004892

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build