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The Breakout Collection + The Fracture Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +2.56$

Invest 25.01$

Average return 27.58$

ROI +10.2%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 63.52 $, profit at most −35.95 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1703

2.52 $

at 2.52

Steam

×8

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

22.08 $

at 2.76

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Connexion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1703

0.41 $

at 0.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.01 $ +2.56 (+10.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

float up to 0.029999

25.79 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

24.84 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52.96 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Vogue

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

6.51 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072999

6.76 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

5.90 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.48 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.25 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2307262 · The Breakout Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 2.81$ · invest 25.04$
rare inputs

Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Field-Tested)
Craft 2307176 · The Breakout Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 2.79$ · invest 25.18$
rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167591 instead of 0.170366; CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076118 instead of 0.077084
Craft 2307308 · The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 2.78$ · invest 25.64$
rare inputs

MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested): float at most 0.179272 instead of 0.170366; CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080181 instead of 0.077084
Craft 2307401 · The Breakout Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 2.76$ · invest 25.01$
rare inputs

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162201 instead of 0.170366; CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074243 instead of 0.077084; Galil AR | Connexion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162201 instead of 0.170366
Craft 2307755 · The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 2.70$ · invest 25.02$
rare inputs

P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164529 instead of 0.170366; CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075053 instead of 0.077084
Craft 2296813 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 2.69$ · invest 26.24$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested): float at most 0.179272 instead of 0.170366; CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080181 instead of 0.077084
Craft 2307430 · The Breakout Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 2.69$ · invest 25.32$
rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167591 instead of 0.170366; CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076118 instead of 0.077084
Craft 2307388 · The Breakout Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 2.62$ · invest 25.08$
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164529 instead of 0.170366; CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075053 instead of 0.077084
Craft 2307452 · The Breakout Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 2.60$ · invest 26.08$
rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164289 instead of 0.170366; CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074970 instead of 0.077084
Craft 2307726 · The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 2.60$ · invest 25.31$
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gauss (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Connexion (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested): float at most 0.179272 instead of 0.170366; CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080181 instead of 0.077084

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build