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The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +19.55$

Invest 30.49$

Average return 50.04$

ROI +64.1%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 79.67 $, profit at most −29.63 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

1.09 $

at 1.09

Steam

×9

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

29.39 $

at 3.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.49 $ +19.55 (+64.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141999

156.25 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

13.33 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.126899

13.76 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26.50 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

25.30 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24.46 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14.37 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +18.48 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2306133 · The Boreal Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.48$ · invest 30.35$
sells slowly

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161764 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2322690 · The Gamma Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.36$ · invest 31.46$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2329267 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.13$ · invest 31.68$
sells slowly

AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164034 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2307687 · The Breakout Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.13$ · invest 32.15$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2329981 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 20.00$ · invest 33.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2323398 · The Genesis Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 19.69$ · invest 30.78$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2330137 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 19.66$ · invest 31.82$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166502 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2329953 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 19.60$ · invest 31.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161616 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2316049 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 19.50$ · invest 31.35$
sells slowly

Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2321994 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 19.39$ · invest 31.03$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Triarch (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2319376 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 19.16$ · invest 30.33$
sells slowly

P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162189 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2329915 · The Phoenix Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 19.04$ · invest 31.97$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2329793 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 18.99$ · invest 30.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Acid Etched (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2330006 · The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 18.84$ · invest 30.48$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2330007 · The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 18.82$ · invest 29.90$
sells slowly

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161616 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2310372 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 18.65$ · invest 31.06$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163939 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2308737 · The CS20 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 18.60$ · invest 31.39$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build