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The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +6 372.69₴

Invest 12 564.09₴

Average return 18 936.78₴

ROI +50.7%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 30 238.37 ₴, profit at most −11 301.58 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 564 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

8 179.26 ₴

at 1 363.21

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

2 371.86 ₴

at 790.62

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

2 012.97 ₴

at 2 012.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 564.09 ₴ +6 372.69 (+50.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 931 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

5 051.18 ₴

at 841.86

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

4 089.63 ₴

at 1 363.21

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

790.62 ₴

at 790.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 931.43 ₴ +4 779.28 (+48.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −17 659 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

841.86 ₴

at 841.86

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

2 726.42 ₴

at 1 363.21

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

14 090.82 ₴

at 2 012.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17 659.10 ₴ +5 503.76 (+31.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −20 770 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

1 363.21 ₴

at 1 363.21

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

16 103.79 ₴

at 2 012.97

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

3 303.22 ₴

at 3 303.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20 770.22 ₴ +5 210.03 (+25.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 436 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

6 816.05 ₴

at 1 363.21

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

1 581.24 ₴

at 790.62

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

6 038.92 ₴

at 2 012.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 436.21 ₴ +5 909.27 (+40.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 414.08 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 180.54 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 376.12 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 618.44 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4 131.80 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5 689.03 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2308954 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 7 355.25₴ · invest 8 838.86₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 839 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164752 instead of 0.162965; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075131 instead of 0.074509
Craft 2311751 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 6 610.34₴ · invest 9 768.92₴
profit on prices without salesat least −9 769 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161801 instead of 0.162965
Craft 2331451 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 6 535.29₴ · invest 8 548.28₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 548 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169312 instead of 0.162965; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076717 instead of 0.074509
Craft 2320464 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 6 533.10₴ · invest 7 747.68₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 422 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166579 instead of 0.162965; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075766 instead of 0.074509
Craft 2332759 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 5 916.90₴ · invest 17 157.20₴
profit on prices without salesat least −16 067 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163174 instead of 0.162965; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074582 instead of 0.074509
Craft 2313851 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 5 856.93₴ · invest 14 680.66₴
profit on prices without salesat least −14 371 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163663 instead of 0.162965; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074752 instead of 0.074509
Craft 2327158 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 5 821.57₴ · invest 15 819.36₴
profit on prices without salesat least −14 398 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163909 instead of 0.162965; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074838 instead of 0.074509
Craft 2307864 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 5 802.83₴ · invest 13 014.95₴
profit on prices without salesat least −10 377 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162462 instead of 0.162965; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074334 instead of 0.074509
Craft 2331817 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 5 782.17₴ · invest 15 425.82₴
profit on prices without salesat least −14 671 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165350 instead of 0.162965; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075339 instead of 0.074509
Craft 2322185 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 5 533.32₴ · invest 16 885.15₴
profit on prices without salesat least −16 885 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164583 instead of 0.162965; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075072 instead of 0.074509
Craft 2319601 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 5 530.79₴ · invest 13 239.25₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 164 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162802 instead of 0.162965; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074453 instead of 0.074509

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build