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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +3 914.66₴

Invest 8 832.60₴

Average return 12 747.26₴

ROI +44.3%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 21 976.30 ₴, profit at most −9 229.04 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 156 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

449.75 ₴

at 449.75

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

1 092.41 ₴

at 546.21

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

7 290.43 ₴

at 1 041.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 832.60 ₴ +3 914.66 (+44.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 755 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

1 349.25 ₴

at 449.75

Steam

×3

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

3 298.18 ₴

at 1 099.39

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

4 165.96 ₴

at 1 041.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 813.40 ₴ +609.82 (+6.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 374 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

1 349.25 ₴

at 449.75

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

2 198.79 ₴

at 1 099.39

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

5 207.45 ₴

at 1 041.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 755.49 ₴ +1 332.53 (+15.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 992 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

1 349.25 ₴

at 449.75

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

1 099.39 ₴

at 1 099.39

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

6 248.94 ₴

at 1 041.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 697.59 ₴ +2 055.24 (+23.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 383 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

899.50 ₴

at 449.75

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

546.21 ₴

at 546.21

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

7 290.43 ₴

at 1 041.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 736.14 ₴ +3 346.31 (+38.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 660.67 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

5 187.09 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

8 524.34 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

7 032.82 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Fracture Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3 174.84 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 533.47 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2325985 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 234.29₴ · invest 8 780.92₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 781 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075173 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.004526 instead of 0.005605
Craft 2332834 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 202.55₴ · invest 9 029.93₴
profit on prices without salesat least −9 030 ₴ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075853 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005121 instead of 0.005605
Craft 2323782 · The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 198.36₴ · invest 8 886.23₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 886 ₴ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2329577 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 079.25₴ · invest 9 610.45₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 992 ₴ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075173 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.004526 instead of 0.005605
Craft 2324439 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 048.42₴ · invest 10 043.45₴
profit on prices without salesat least −9 346 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074771 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.004175 instead of 0.005605
Craft 2316440 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 016.93₴ · invest 8 901.85₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 464 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2310708 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 981.74₴ · invest 9 023.35₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 089 ₴ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075895 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005158 instead of 0.005605
Craft 2333437 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 969.12₴ · invest 8 967.52₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 708 ₴ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074317 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.003777 instead of 0.005605
Craft 2322329 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 900.19₴ · invest 9 036.70₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 497 ₴ rare inputs

AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075173 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.004526 instead of 0.005605
Craft 2321607 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 850.45₴ · invest 8 832.60₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 833 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075173 instead of 0.076405; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.004526 instead of 0.005605

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build