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The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +76.31$

Invest 229.37$

Average return 305.67$

ROI +33.3%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 559.85 $, profit at most −254.18 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −229 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

149.82 $

at 18.73

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

30.33 $

at 30.33

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

49.22 $

at 49.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 229.37 $ +76.31 (+33.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −260 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

131.09 $

at 18.73

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

30.33 $

at 30.33

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

98.43 $

at 49.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 259.86 $ +55.58 (+21.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −290 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

112.37 $

at 18.73

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

30.33 $

at 30.33

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

147.65 $

at 49.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 290.34 $ +34.85 (+12.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −321 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

93.64 $

at 18.73

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

30.33 $

at 30.33

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

196.87 $

at 49.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 320.83 $ +14.13 (+4.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 45%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

409.63 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

270.96 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237399

761.11 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

144.02 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +24.63 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +59.51 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2318875 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 82.09$ · invest 206.74$
profit on prices without salesat least −207 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build