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The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +21 017.53₽

Invest 13 485.67₽

Average return 34 503.20₽

ROI +155.8%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 34 167.03 ₽, profit at most +336.17 ₽

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 208 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

849.43 ₽

at 849.43

Steam

×1

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

920.00 ₽

at 920.00

Steam

×8

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

11 716.24 ₽

at 1 464.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 485.67 ₽ +21 017.53 (+155.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −583 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

6 795.44 ₽

at 849.43

Steam

×1

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

1 464.53 ₽

at 1 464.53

Steam

×1

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

2 543.40 ₽

at 2 543.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 803.37 ₽ +6 800.05 (+62.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

63 667.48 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

21 242.66 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 099.65 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 282.66 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Fracture Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14 566.16 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +16 417.61 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2326060 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 21 621.20₽ · invest 13 388.07₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 388 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2332957 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 21 561.26₽ · invest 13 858.36₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 858 ₽ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162546 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074363 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2323887 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 21 553.35₽ · invest 13 586.97₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 587 ₽ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2329620 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 21 328.38₽ · invest 14 954.78₽
profit on prices without salesat least −11 897 ₽ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2316540 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 21 210.67₽ · invest 13 616.47₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 790 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2312059 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 21 175.47₽ · invest 13 826.41₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 217 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163480 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074688 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2310796 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 21 144.21₽ · invest 13 845.94₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 081 ₽ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162859 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074472 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2332394 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 21 046.24₽ · invest 13 556.27₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 113 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166090 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075596 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2330587 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 21 031.04₽ · invest 13 372.48₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 678 ₽ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2319859 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 21 027.48₽ · invest 13 234.90₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 198 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2322406 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 990.19₽ · invest 13 871.15₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 852 ₽ rare inputs

AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2333514 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 975.65₽ · invest 13 885.23₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 394 ₽ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163765 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074787 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2317689 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 899.18₽ · invest 13 288.64₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 327 ₽ rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2321712 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 896.25₽ · invest 13 485.67₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 486 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2333348 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 815.13₽ · invest 13 182.63₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 411 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162546 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074363 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2333963 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 417.65₽ · invest 13 667.84₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 668 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2334038 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 051.94₽ · invest 14 393.68₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 564 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build