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The Operation Hydra Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +12 515.40₸

Invest 46 337.90₸

Average return 58 853.31₸

ROI +27.0%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 108 801.55 ₸, profit at most −49 948.25 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −38 652 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Death's Head

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

12 704.62 ₸

at 12 704.62

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

20 676.58 ₸

at 2 953.80

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

12 956.70 ₸

at 6 478.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46 337.90 ₸ +12 515.40 (+27.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −45 733 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Death's Head

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

25 409.25 ₸

at 12 704.62

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

20 676.58 ₸

at 2 953.80

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

6 478.35 ₸

at 6 478.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 52 564.17 ₸ +11 436.80 (+21.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −78 978 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Red Rock

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

8 761.70 ₸

at 8 761.70

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Death's Head

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

63 523.12 ₸

at 12 704.62

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

1 247.99 ₸

at 1 247.99

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

8 861.39 ₸

at 2 953.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 82 394.20 ₸ +2 197.45 (+2.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −69 234 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Red Rock

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

8 761.70 ₸

at 8 761.70

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Death's Head

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

50 818.49 ₸

at 12 704.62

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

8 015.84 ₸

at 2 671.95

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

5 907.59 ₸

at 2 953.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 73 503.63 ₸ +5 940.36 (+8.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −87 064 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Red Rock

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

17 523.40 ₸

at 8 761.70

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Death's Head

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

63 523.12 ₸

at 12 704.62

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

2 671.95 ₸

at 2 671.95

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

5 907.59 ₸

at 2 953.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 89 626.06 ₸ +113.26 (+0.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

99 946.58 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

55 876.79 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

29 461.16 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.035294

114 570.06 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Sugar Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.032352

129 528.37 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Hellfire

Factory New

float up to 0.029411

118 780.46 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5 541.34 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11 385.06 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Hydra Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2332889 · The Shadow Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 13 406.56₸ · invest 40 000.13₸
profit on prices without salesat least −32 315 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Death's Head (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074465 instead of 0.078513; StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.003907 instead of 0.007449
Craft 2332952 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 13 196.16₸ · invest 37 025.59₸
profit on prices without salesat least −29 340 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Death's Head (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077582 instead of 0.078513; StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.006634 instead of 0.007449
Craft 2304219 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 12 403.00₸ · invest 38 494.34₸
profit on prices without salesat least −30 809 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Death's Head (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076919 instead of 0.078513; StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.006054 instead of 0.007449

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build