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The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +93.49$

Invest 200.88$

Average return 294.37$

ROI +46.5%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 498.36 $, profit at most −203.99 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −201 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

14.39 $

at 14.39

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

24.30 $

at 12.15

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

162.18 $

at 23.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 200.88 $ +93.49 (+46.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −259 $

4% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

43.18 $

at 14.39

Steam

×6

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

192.75 $

at 32.13

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

23.17 $

at 23.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 259.10 $ +3.30 (+1.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −250 $

4% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

43.18 $

at 14.39

Steam

×5

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

160.63 $

at 32.13

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

46.34 $

at 23.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 250.15 $ +16.25 (+6.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −203 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

28.79 $

at 14.39

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

12.15 $

at 12.15

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

162.18 $

at 23.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 203.12 $ +87.25 (+43.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −241 $

4% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

43.18 $

at 14.39

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

128.50 $

at 32.13

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

69.51 $

at 23.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 241.19 $ +29.20 (+12.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

570.84 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

115.39 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

323.47 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

270.87 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 only The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +73.41 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +83.78 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2325985 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 94.19$ · invest 195.34$
profit on prices without salesat least −195 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075173 instead of 0.075853; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.004526 instead of 0.005121
Craft 2323782 · The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 93.40$ · invest 197.68$
profit on prices without salesat least −198 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076405 instead of 0.075853; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005605 instead of 0.005121
Craft 2329577 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 90.75$ · invest 213.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −178 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075173 instead of 0.075853; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.004526 instead of 0.005121
Craft 2324439 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 90.06$ · invest 223.42$
profit on prices without salesat least −208 $ rare inputs

P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074771 instead of 0.075853; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.004175 instead of 0.005121
Craft 2316440 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 89.36$ · invest 198.03$
profit on prices without salesat least −188 $ rare inputs

P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076405 instead of 0.075853; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005605 instead of 0.005121
Craft 2310708 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 88.58$ · invest 200.73$
profit on prices without salesat least −180 $ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075895 instead of 0.075853; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005158 instead of 0.005121
Craft 2333437 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 88.30$ · invest 199.49$
profit on prices without salesat least −194 $ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074317 instead of 0.075853; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.003777 instead of 0.005121
Craft 2318872 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 87.08$ · invest 196.49$
profit on prices without salesat least −181 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076405 instead of 0.075853; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005605 instead of 0.005121
Craft 2322329 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 86.76$ · invest 201.03$
profit on prices without salesat least −189 $ rare inputs

AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075173 instead of 0.075853; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.004526 instead of 0.005121
Craft 2321607 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 85.66$ · invest 196.49$
profit on prices without salesat least −196 $ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075173 instead of 0.075853; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.004526 instead of 0.005121

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build