The CS20 Collection + The Gallery Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −3 970.41₴

Invest 8 992.85₴

Average return 5 022.44₴

ROI −44.1%

Chance of profit 12%

With float: invest 11 598.46 ₴, profit −6 576.02 ₴

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −4 673.71 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈24% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (estimate)

×4

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2812

7 014.47 ₴

at 1 753.62

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2812

1 978.38 ₴

at 1 978.38

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 8 992.85 ₴ −3 970.41 (−44.1%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 12%
Losing outcome 75%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

23 138.00 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141756

7 813.64 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

7 192.89 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

5 737.20 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

6 943.30 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 653.37 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

5 150.89 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

11 661.82 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 249.62 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

5 399.25 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

2.25 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

8 471.30 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141756

6 617.07 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

4 079.00 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

2 784.81 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

4 088.65 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

2 011.54 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

2 192.78 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 829.81 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

2 530.00 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

2 186.94 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 000.00 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

2 912.11 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife

no wear

5 030.19 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4 641.77 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −4 061.87 ₴ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2337893 · The Gallery Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −3 839.58₴ · invest 8 992.85₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Field-Tested): float at most 0.240155 instead of 0.281263; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.240155 instead of 0.281263
Craft 2337897 · The CS20 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit −3 839.58₴ · invest 8 992.85₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.240155 instead of 0.281263; StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Field-Tested): float at most 0.240155 instead of 0.281263
Craft 2337894 · The Gallery Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −3 970.41₴ · invest 8 992.85₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build