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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +177.26₴

Invest 621.86₴

Average return 799.13₴

ROI +28.5%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 1 448.84 ₴, profit at most −649.71 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

113.70 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

343.25 ₴

at 85.81

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1745

164.91 ₴

at 164.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 621.86 ₴ +177.26 (+28.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

470.21 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 879.48 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

281.86 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

float up to 0.019999

258.48 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Heirloom

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

517.56 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy

Factory New

float up to 0.019999

788.47 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Titanium Bit

Factory New

float up to 0.019999

3 616.89 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 5 The Anubis Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 6 The Ascent Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +48.33 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +112.23 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Arms Deal 3 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2406996 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Vertigo Collection · profit 180.61₴ · invest 568.10₴
rare inputs

Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)
Craft 2406741 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 178.90₴ · invest 658.31₴
outcome without sales rare inputs

UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074060 instead of 0.078540; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003553 instead of 0.007473

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build