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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +5.93$

Invest 10.66$

Average return 16.59$

ROI +55.6%

Chance of profit 53%

With float: invest at least 25.01 $, profit at most −8.42 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

2.02 $

at 0.51

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

7.64 $

at 1.91

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

0.23 $

at 0.23

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

0.77 $

at 0.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.66 $ +5.93 (+55.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 47%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

10.46 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

41.82 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.36 $ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.61 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.41 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.81 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.93 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.26 $ 4.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 2.02 → 4.79 $

MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 7.64 → 18.06 $

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.23 → 0.50 $

UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.77 → 1.66 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.034999, 0.048999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Anubis Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Ascent Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.56 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.78 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2405614 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2018 Nuke Collection · profit 6.84$ · invest 8.36$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074280 instead of 0.074148; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 4; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003745 instead of 0.003629
Craft 2406793 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 6.53$ · invest 11.32$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear), P90 | Off World (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074077 instead of 0.074148; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003567 instead of 0.003629
Craft 2406305 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 6.51$ · invest 7.97$
rare inputs

AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074148; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 4; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003505 instead of 0.003629
Craft 2406780 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.51$ · invest 6.76$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074118 instead of 0.074148; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 4; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003603 instead of 0.003629
Craft 2406940 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 6.36$ · invest 11.00$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear), P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074148; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003629
Craft 2406477 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 6.13$ · invest 8.65$
rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074374 instead of 0.074148; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003828 instead of 0.003629
Craft 2406563 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 6.08$ · invest 11.11$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074148; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003629
Craft 2406692 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 6.02$ · invest 10.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074148; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003629
Craft 2406590 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 5.92$ · invest 10.94$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074059 instead of 0.074148; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003551 instead of 0.003629
Craft 2406614 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 5.82$ · invest 10.76$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)
Craft 2406454 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 5.79$ · invest 11.04$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074020 instead of 0.074148; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003517 instead of 0.003629
Craft 2406975 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 5.55$ · invest 12.32$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075305 instead of 0.074148; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 4; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004642 instead of 0.003629
Craft 2406782 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 5.17$ · invest 7.67$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074050 instead of 0.074148; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 4; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003544 instead of 0.003629

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build