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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +403.61₸

Invest 2 440.34₸

Average return 2 843.95₸

ROI +16.5%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 6 242.25 ₸, profit at most −3 398.25 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2 066.18 ₸

at 229.58

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

374.16 ₸

at 374.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 440.34 ₸ +403.61 (+16.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 60%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

4 746.83 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.094230

2 709.41 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

2 845.39 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

850.95 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

861.05 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 262.88 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

2 545.48 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208653

482.94 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −75.31 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +302.91 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2406852 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 428.38₸ · invest 2 390.73₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2406924 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 387.50₸ · invest 2 413.34₸
rare inputs

P250 | Ripple (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074362 instead of 0.074475

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build