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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +6.36$

Invest 13.69$

Average return 20.05$

ROI +46.5%

Chance of profit 34%

With float: invest at least 32.94 $, profit at most −12.89 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

2.02 $

at 0.51

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

9.55 $

at 1.91

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

2.12 $

at 2.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.69 $ +6.36 (+46.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

1.52 $

at 0.51

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

3.82 $

at 1.91

Steam

×5

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

10.58 $

at 2.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.92 $ +5.91 (+37.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

1.01 $

at 0.51

Steam

×1

Nova | Plume

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

1.78 $

at 1.78

Steam

×7

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

14.82 $

at 2.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.61 $ +5.55 (+31.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

0.51 $

at 0.51

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

0.77 $

at 0.77

Steam

×8

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

16.93 $

at 2.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.21 $ +5.39 (+29.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

1.52 $

at 0.51

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

5.73 $

at 1.91

Steam

×1

Nova | Plume

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

1.78 $

at 1.78

Steam

×3

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

6.35 $

at 2.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.38 $ +6.00 (+39.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 34%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 30%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

10.46 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

41.82 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.36 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Rat Rod

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

81.80 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

10.16 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11.50 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Obsidian

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.71 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Neon Ply

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12.09 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Anubis Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The Ascent Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.31 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.87 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2405615 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2018 Nuke Collection · profit 6.47$ · invest 12.32$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075056 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004424 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406781 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.12$ · invest 12.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076129 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005363 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406606 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 6.11$ · invest 12.04$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076267 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005483 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406851 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 6.09$ · invest 12.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406818 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 6.09$ · invest 12.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406430 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 6.01$ · invest 11.96$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406656 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 6.00$ · invest 12.42$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077745 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006776 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406306 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 6.00$ · invest 12.28$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077736 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006769 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406517 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 6.00$ · invest 11.92$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Danger Close (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074208 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003682 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406580 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 6.00$ · invest 11.89$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077777 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006805 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406886 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 5.99$ · invest 12.59$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406536 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 5.98$ · invest 11.84$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077656 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006699 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406913 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 5.94$ · invest 11.97$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406789 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 5.94$ · invest 12.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406831 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 5.90$ · invest 11.95$
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077777 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006805 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406500 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 5.89$ · invest 11.97$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077777 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006805 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406840 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 5.88$ · invest 11.94$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077833 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006854 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406447 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 5.88$ · invest 12.15$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.005067
Craft 2406922 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 5.82$ · invest 12.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076681 instead of 0.075791; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005846 instead of 0.005067

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build