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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +223.22₴

Invest 489.03₴

Average return 712.25₴

ROI +45.6%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 1 129.80 ₴, profit at most −417.56 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

136.45 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

257.44 ₴

at 85.81

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

95.15 ₴

at 95.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 489.03 ₴ +223.22 (+45.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

113.70 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

171.62 ₴

at 85.81

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Torn

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

53.48 ₴

at 53.48

Steam

×2

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

190.29 ₴

at 95.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 529.10 ₴ +82.11 (+15.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

470.21 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 879.48 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

281.86 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Rat Rod

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

302.50 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

456.72 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

194.19 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Obsidian

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

290.40 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Neon Ply

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

237.21 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Anubis Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The Ascent Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +110.40 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +162.55 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2406275 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 221.83₴ · invest 547.79₴
rare inputs

AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078231 instead of 0.076695; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.007202 instead of 0.005858
Craft 2407020 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 218.20₴ · invest 545.87₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Negev | Bratatat (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074931 instead of 0.076695; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004315 instead of 0.005858

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build