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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2 474.76₸

Invest 5 554.01₸

Average return 8 028.77₸

ROI +44.6%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 13 527.67 ₸, profit at most −5 498.90 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

918.30 ₸

at 229.58

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

4 331.46 ₸

at 866.29

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

304.25 ₸

at 304.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 554.01 ₸ +2 474.76 (+44.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

4 746.83 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

18 973.70 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 971.01 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

256.35 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 4 The Anubis Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 5 The Ascent Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 310.21 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 893.37 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2407004 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 2 618.48₸ · invest 5 913.15₸
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074675 instead of 0.077392; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004090 instead of 0.006468
Craft 2406710 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 2 578.22₸ · invest 5 458.22₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075056 instead of 0.077392; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004424 instead of 0.006468
Craft 2406572 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 2 555.06₸ · invest 5 557.70₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077943 instead of 0.077392; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006950 instead of 0.006468
Craft 2406689 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 2 512.41₸ · invest 5 553.53₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077392; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006468
Craft 2406412 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 2 510.55₸ · invest 5 962.38₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076478 instead of 0.077392; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005668 instead of 0.006468
Craft 2406670 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 2 503.75₸ · invest 5 911.87₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076612 instead of 0.077392; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005785 instead of 0.006468
Craft 2406882 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 2 472.81₸ · invest 5 585.86₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build