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The 2021 Train Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +86.59₴

Invest 309.68₴

Average return 396.27₴

ROI +28.0%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 740.12 ₴, profit at most −343.85 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

105.93 ₴

at 105.93

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

165.62 ₴

at 20.70

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

38.13 ₴

at 38.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 309.68 ₴ +86.59 (+28.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −131 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Spring Twilly

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

77.23 ₴

at 77.23

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

211.85 ₴

at 105.93

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

82.81 ₴

at 20.70

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

114.40 ₴

at 38.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 486.30 ₴ +6.64 (+1.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −42 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

211.85 ₴

at 105.93

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

144.92 ₴

at 20.70

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

38.13 ₴

at 38.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 394.90 ₴ +49.70 (+12.6%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

410.41 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

389.85 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.043999

1 637.63 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

786.80 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

983.63 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.057999

876.58 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.039999

495.28 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +32.08 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +59.39 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2435535 · The Harlequin Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 95.70₴ · invest 269.47₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079833 instead of 0.075778; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New): float at most 0.008604 instead of 0.005056
Craft 2435544 · The Harlequin Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 86.38₴ · invest 303.01₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074066 instead of 0.075778; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New): float at most 0.003558 instead of 0.005056

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build