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The 2021 Train Collection + The Prisma Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +307.22₽

Invest 678.32₽

Average return 985.54₽

ROI +45.3%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 1 616.32 ₽, profit at most −630.79 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

AUG | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

290.67 ₽

at 290.67

Steam

×1

P90 | Off World

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

36.13 ₽

at 36.13

Steam

×8

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

351.52 ₽

at 43.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 678.32 ₽ +307.22 (+45.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

200.06 ₽

at 200.06

Steam

×1

AUG | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

290.67 ₽

at 290.67

Steam

×7

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

307.58 ₽

at 43.94

Steam

×1

P90 | Off World

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

97.25 ₽

at 97.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 895.56 ₽ +154.92 (+17.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −213 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

600.18 ₽

at 200.06

Steam

×4

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

175.76 ₽

at 43.94

Steam

×3

P90 | Off World

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

291.75 ₽

at 97.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 067.69 ₽ +47.74 (+4.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

in profit

best

AWP | Atheris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 142.88 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Light Rail

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 264.17 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Gauss

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

218.20 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Bamboozle

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

534.88 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

133.30 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

3 092.92 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

1 486.00 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

1 857.75 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.040599

1 655.56 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

935.42 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +99.54 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +195.06 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2441134 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 294.50₽ · invest 680.55₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074087 instead of 0.074050; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074087 instead of 0.074050

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build