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The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +82.00$

Invest 83.89$

Average return 165.89$

ROI +97.7%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 197.88 $, profit at most −31.99 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

22.30 $

at 22.30

Steam

×3

AUG | Momentum

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

19.53 $

at 6.51

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

42.06 $

at 7.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 83.89 $ +82.00 (+97.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −31 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

66.90 $

at 22.30

Steam

×1

AUG | Momentum

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

6.51 $

at 6.51

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

42.06 $

at 7.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 115.47 $ +63.60 (+55.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −201 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

44.60 $

at 22.30

Steam

×7

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

161.02 $

at 23.00

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2589

7.70 $

at 7.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 213.33 $ +5.32 (+2.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

44.60 $

at 22.30

Steam

×2

AUG | Momentum

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

13.02 $

at 6.51

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

42.06 $

at 7.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 99.68 $ +72.80 (+73.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −172 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

89.20 $

at 22.30

Steam

×4

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

92.01 $

at 23.00

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2584

15.41 $

at 7.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 196.62 $ +15.42 (+7.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.053260

88.53 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.060869

277.85 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.038043

220.47 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

297.57 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 only The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +61.53 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +76.60 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2420760 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 89.10$ · invest 75.84$
sells slowly float cannot be reached

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162617 instead of 0.164749; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162617 instead of 0.164749
Craft 2435846 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 88.99$ · invest 67.72$
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165709 instead of 0.164749; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165709 instead of 0.164749
Craft 2421804 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 88.65$ · invest 75.55$
sells slowly

P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163601 instead of 0.164749; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163601 instead of 0.164749
Craft 2440297 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 86.69$ · invest 67.83$
sells slowly

MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165694 instead of 0.164749; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165694 instead of 0.164749
Craft 2440748 · The Prisma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 86.08$ · invest 65.61$
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165078 instead of 0.164749; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165078 instead of 0.164749
Craft 2423819 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 85.35$ · invest 66.01$
sells slowly

USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162205 instead of 0.164749; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162205 instead of 0.164749
Craft 2437113 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 84.91$ · invest 65.42$
sells slowly

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163261 instead of 0.164749; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163261 instead of 0.164749
Craft 2430487 · The Fracture Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 84.23$ · invest 65.60$
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164859 instead of 0.164749; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164859 instead of 0.164749
Craft 2425235 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 82.15$ · invest 66.88$
sells slowly

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165709 instead of 0.164749; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165709 instead of 0.164749
Craft 2441048 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 81.68$ · invest 71.81$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Cartel (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164859 instead of 0.164749; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164859 instead of 0.164749
Craft 2422747 · The Chroma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 81.00$ · invest 74.81$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear); AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161547 instead of 0.164749; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161547 instead of 0.164749

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build