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The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +20 189.75₽

Invest 13 164.03₽

Average return 33 353.78₽

ROI +153.4%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 32 524.47 ₽, profit at most +829.31 ₽

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 683 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

1 072.32 ₽

at 1 072.32

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

1 840.00 ₽

at 920.00

Steam

×7

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

10 251.71 ₽

at 1 464.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 164.03 ₽ +20 189.75 (+153.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 089 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

1 335.48 ₽

at 667.74

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

5 361.60 ₽

at 1 072.32

Steam

×3

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1700

2 760.00 ₽

at 920.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 457.08 ₽ +4 868.43 (+51.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 100 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

5 361.60 ₽

at 1 072.32

Steam

×4

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

3 680.00 ₽

at 920.00

Steam

×1

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1 464.53 ₽

at 1 464.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 506.13 ₽ +10 162.14 (+96.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 810 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

2 144.64 ₽

at 1 072.32

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

1 840.00 ₽

at 920.00

Steam

×6

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

8 787.18 ₽

at 1 464.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 771.82 ₽ +17 410.58 (+136.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 951 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

2 670.96 ₽

at 667.74

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

4 289.28 ₽

at 1 072.32

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

1 840.00 ₽

at 920.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 800.24 ₽ +2 353.89 (+26.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 765.21 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

21 242.66 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095499

5 647.11 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

5 419.06 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Falchion Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13 747.14 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15 639.10 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2441148 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 21 479.18₽ · invest 12 745.72₽
profit on prices without salesat least −11 720 ₽ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161898 instead of 0.162268; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074138 instead of 0.074267
Craft 2433340 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 860.92₽ · invest 13 603.98₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 024 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162207 instead of 0.162268; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074245 instead of 0.074267
Craft 2437592 · The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 835.97₽ · invest 12 784.71₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 037 ₽ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162410 instead of 0.162268; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074316 instead of 0.074267
Craft 2419174 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 810.68₽ · invest 12 923.89₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 062 ₽ rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162131 instead of 0.162268; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074219 instead of 0.074267
Craft 2430900 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 743.61₽ · invest 12 677.53₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 129 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New)
Craft 2441844 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 680.25₽ · invest 12 899.15₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 192 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162429 instead of 0.162268; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074267
Craft 2424288 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 652.47₽ · invest 12 898.39₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 618 ₽ rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162384 instead of 0.162268; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.074267
Craft 2442226 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 610.13₽ · invest 13 033.84₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 263 ₽ rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162480 instead of 0.162268; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074340 instead of 0.074267
Craft 2440269 · The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 497.36₽ · invest 13 207.21₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 375 ₽ rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161909 instead of 0.162268; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074142 instead of 0.074267
Craft 2418065 · The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 436.81₽ · invest 14 347.85₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 348 ₽ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161909 instead of 0.162268; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074142 instead of 0.074267
Craft 2443816 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 411.01₽ · invest 13 702.22₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 462 ₽ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.162268; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074267
Craft 2436727 · The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20 284.58₽ · invest 15 191.62₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 588 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New)
Craft 2423082 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 19 896.70₽ · invest 14 032.33₽
profit on prices without salesat least −12 976 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162361 instead of 0.162268; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074299 instead of 0.074267
Craft 2443889 · The Sport & Field Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 19 341.93₽ · invest 15 090.71₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 531 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162323 instead of 0.162268; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074286 instead of 0.074267

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build