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The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +25.79$

Invest 77.42$

Average return 103.21$

ROI +33.3%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 186.63 $, profit at most −83.43 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

45.14 $

at 5.64

Steam

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

10.84 $

at 10.84

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

21.44 $

at 21.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 77.42 $ +25.79 (+33.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −33 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

39.50 $

at 5.64

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

20.16 $

at 20.16

Steam

×2

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

42.88 $

at 21.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 102.54 $ +9.47 (+9.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

114.25 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

113.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.302999

222.66 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

worst

Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

105.73 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13.13 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +21.38 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2425857 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 28.24$ · invest 65.46$
float cannot be reached rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166225 instead of 0.168399; P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075643 instead of 0.076399
Craft 2424596 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 25.99$ · invest 68.61$
UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164514 instead of 0.168399; P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075048 instead of 0.076399

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build