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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +1 173.69₸

Invest 4 302.54₸

Average return 5 476.23₸

ROI +27.3%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 10 646.35 ₸, profit at most −5 170.12 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4832

689.21 ₸

at 344.60

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

3 380.55 ₸

at 482.94

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Control

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

232.78 ₸

at 232.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 302.54 ₸ +1 173.69 (+27.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

451.93 ₸

at 451.93

Steam

×3

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

1 448.81 ₸

at 482.94

Steam

×5

Galil AR | Control

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

1 163.91 ₸

at 232.78

Steam

×1

P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

251.17 ₸

at 251.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 315.82 ₸ +839.25 (+25.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

965.87 ₸

at 482.94

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Control

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

232.78 ₸

at 232.78

Steam

×7

P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

1 758.19 ₸

at 251.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 956.84 ₸ +669.75 (+22.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

1 448.81 ₸

at 482.94

Steam

×5

Galil AR | Control

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

1 163.91 ₸

at 232.78

Steam

×2

P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

502.34 ₸

at 251.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 115.06 ₸ +775.74 (+24.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 501.81 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.047999

11 345.18 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 957.73 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 696.19 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 028.92 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 963.36 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +305.48 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +910.71 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2418324 · The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1 180.66₸ · invest 4 346.21₸
rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.481666 instead of 0.483281; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163242 instead of 0.163917
Craft 2428677 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 1 152.96₸ · invest 4 267.53₸
rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.477671 instead of 0.483281; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161571 instead of 0.163917
Craft 2428843 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 1 150.87₸ · invest 4 295.38₸
rare inputs

P250 | Cyber Shell (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.484776 instead of 0.483281; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164543 instead of 0.163917
Craft 2423239 · The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1 120.82₸ · invest 4 274.16₸
rare inputs

Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.483312 instead of 0.483281; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163930 instead of 0.163917
Craft 2428184 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 1 120.10₸ · invest 4 265.66₸
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.483312 instead of 0.483281; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163930 instead of 0.163917
Craft 2428903 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 1 114.45₸ · invest 4 764.53₸
rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.488098 instead of 0.483281; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165932 instead of 0.163917
Craft 2424670 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1 077.19₸ · invest 4 379.78₸
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested) instead of Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.477671 instead of 0.483281; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161571 instead of 0.163917

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build