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The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +17.30₽

Invest 357.33₽

Average return 374.63₽

ROI +4.8%

Chance of profit 44%

With float: invest at least 854.06 ₽, profit at most −479.44 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

113.28 ₽

at 28.32

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

190.35 ₽

at 38.07

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

53.70 ₽

at 53.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 357.33 ₽ +17.30 (+4.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3837

113.28 ₽

at 28.32

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

38.07 ₽

at 38.07

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3837

42.95 ₽

at 42.95

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

214.80 ₽

at 53.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 409.10 ₽ +0.13 (+0.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 20%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Field-Tested

float up to 0.173076

169.77 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288461

161.09 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 188.38 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.144230

416.66 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.287115

168.45 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.359615

476.73 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288461

559.50 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

float up to 0.244230

400.00 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.109615

645.25 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −26.39 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13.00 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2428866 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 17.69₽ · invest 320.91₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384655 instead of 0.384673; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165297 instead of 0.165357
Craft 2428594 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 16.96₽ · invest 322.17₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384655 instead of 0.384673; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165297 instead of 0.165357

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build