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The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +215.70₽

Invest 798.39₽

Average return 1 014.09₽

ROI +27.0%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 1 977.62 ₽, profit at most −963.53 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4776

128.94 ₽

at 64.47

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

632.45 ₽

at 90.35

Steam

×1

M249 | Downtown

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

37.00 ₽

at 37.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 798.39 ₽ +215.70 (+27.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3852

66.65 ₽

at 66.65

Steam

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

451.75 ₽

at 90.35

Steam

×2

M249 | Downtown

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

74.00 ₽

at 37.00

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

82.00 ₽

at 41.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 674.40 ₽ +160.08 (+23.7%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

66.65 ₽

at 66.65

Steam

×4

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

361.40 ₽

at 90.35

Steam

×1

M249 | Downtown

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

37.00 ₽

at 37.00

Steam

×4

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

164.00 ₽

at 41.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 629.05 ₽ +145.56 (+23.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

842.22 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.047999

2 122.51 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

740.43 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.115499

756.47 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Visions

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

410.07 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

473.14 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +54.05 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +166.57 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2418324 · The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 220.88₽ · invest 813.11₽
rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Downtown (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.481666 instead of 0.477671; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163242 instead of 0.161571
Craft 2428161 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 219.58₽ · invest 804.94₽
rare inputs

Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Downtown (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.483281 instead of 0.477671; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163917 instead of 0.161571
Craft 2428843 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 215.31₽ · invest 803.60₽
rare inputs

P250 | Cyber Shell (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Downtown (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.484776 instead of 0.477671; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164543 instead of 0.161571
Craft 2423239 · The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 209.69₽ · invest 799.63₽
rare inputs

Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Downtown (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.483312 instead of 0.477671; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163930 instead of 0.161571
Craft 2428184 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 209.55₽ · invest 798.04₽
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Downtown (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.483312 instead of 0.477671; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163930 instead of 0.161571
Craft 2428903 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 208.50₽ · invest 891.37₽
rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Downtown (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.488098 instead of 0.477671; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165932 instead of 0.161571
Craft 2424670 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 201.53₽ · invest 819.39₽
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Downtown (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build