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The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +55.75$

Invest 88.01$

Average return 143.77$

ROI +63.4%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 227.00 $, profit at most −83.24 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

78.50 $

at 8.72

Steam

×1

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

9.51 $

at 9.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 88.01 $ +55.75 (+63.4%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

4.76 $

at 4.76

Steam

×6

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

52.33 $

at 8.72

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

6.16 $

at 6.16

Steam

×2

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

19.02 $

at 9.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 82.28 $ +48.04 (+58.4%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

4.76 $

at 4.76

Steam

×4

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

34.89 $

at 8.72

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

18.49 $

at 6.16

Steam

×2

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

19.02 $

at 9.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 77.17 $ +39.71 (+51.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

4.76 $

at 4.76

Steam

×3

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

26.17 $

at 8.72

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

24.66 $

at 6.16

Steam

×2

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

19.02 $

at 9.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 74.61 $ +35.54 (+47.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

4.76 $

at 4.76

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

8.72 $

at 8.72

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

36.99 $

at 6.16

Steam

×2

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

19.02 $

at 9.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 69.49 $ +27.21 (+39.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

189.65 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

156.47 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

76.48 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

115.01 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +36.61 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +51.28 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2428289 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 57.88$ · invest 96.31$
sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2428448 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 57.59$ · invest 86.66$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2418331 · The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 57.29$ · invest 88.30$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2428197 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 56.50$ · invest 85.40$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2423248 · The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 55.43$ · invest 88.00$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2428719 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 54.93$ · invest 89.60$
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2429004 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 54.16$ · invest 109.18$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2428577 · The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 53.60$ · invest 91.64$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2417355 · The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 52.89$ · invest 105.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2428915 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 52.58$ · invest 97.47$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076627 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2426715 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 52.29$ · invest 94.42$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2428166 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 52.29$ · invest 95.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build