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The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +239.29₽

Invest 599.32₽

Average return 838.61₽

ROI +39.9%

Chance of profit 82%

With float: invest at least 1 427.50 ₽, profit at most −588.89 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

210.00 ₽

at 70.00

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

319.92 ₽

at 53.32

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

69.40 ₽

at 69.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 599.32 ₽ +239.29 (+39.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

105.44 ₽

at 52.72

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

350.00 ₽

at 70.00

Steam

×1

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

21.58 ₽

at 21.58

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

51.86 ₽

at 25.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 528.88 ₽ +193.60 (+36.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 82%
Losing outcome 18%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

781.28 ₽ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 011.47 ₽ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

1 400.98 ₽ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

540.82 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 748.48 ₽ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

797.52 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

476.22 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

90.35 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +105.46 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +176.41 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 24 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2416270 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 247.51₽ · invest 315.49₽
XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074156 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2416271 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 243.22₽ · invest 488.71₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2410911 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 242.32₽ · invest 425.09₽
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074245 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2435499 · The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 239.76₽ · invest 605.38₽
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075181 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075181 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2410912 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 239.33₽ · invest 570.91₽
rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075157 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075157 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2437444 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 239.09₽ · invest 462.85₽
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075270 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075270 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2430792 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 238.31₽ · invest 470.17₽
rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2427642 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 233.30₽ · invest 459.01₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074942 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074942 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2406203 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 232.51₽ · invest 493.87₽
pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074010 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2440155 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 230.33₽ · invest 582.70₽
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074322 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074322 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2443571 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 225.03₽ · invest 490.57₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2440596 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 224.20₽ · invest 520.96₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075027 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2443572 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 223.25₽ · invest 317.97₽
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075004 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2416272 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 222.58₽ · invest 315.49₽
XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075275 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2441364 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 218.83₽ · invest 426.21₽
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075004 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2441713 · The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 212.83₽ · invest 487.30₽
rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2424161 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 210.26₽ · invest 491.83₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2442087 · The Revolution Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 209.00₽ · invest 484.54₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075436 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075436 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2417978 · The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 208.19₽ · invest 536.65₽
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2439600 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 200.79₽ · invest 474.94₽
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2425564 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 194.78₽ · invest 381.04₽
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074061 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2422095 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 190.05₽ · invest 464.80₽
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2430793 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 189.47₽ · invest 425.68₽
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075825 instead of 0.075273
Craft 2443405 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 189.30₽ · invest 452.62₽
Nova | Windblown (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075488 instead of 0.075273

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build