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The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +244.71$

Invest 157.58$

Average return 402.29$

ROI +155.3%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 399.71 $, profit at most +2.57 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −143 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

8.72 $

at 8.72

Steam

×1

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

10.84 $

at 10.84

Steam

×8

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

138.02 $

at 17.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 157.58 $ +244.71 (+155.3%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

69.78 $

at 8.72

Steam

×1

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

17.25 $

at 17.25

Steam

×1

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

29.96 $

at 29.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 116.99 $ +89.45 (+76.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

739.37 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

250.24 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

189.65 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

156.47 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +167.42 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +190.82 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2436235 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 250.17$ · invest 157.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −147 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2443132 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 249.83$ · invest 163.25$
profit on prices without salesat least −163 $ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162546 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074363 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2434054 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 249.67$ · invest 159.70$
profit on prices without salesat least −160 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2439671 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 248.08$ · invest 176.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −176 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2426681 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 246.18$ · invest 159.69$
profit on prices without salesat least −150 $ rare inputs

P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2421148 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 245.71$ · invest 163.11$
profit on prices without salesat least −157 $ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162859 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074472 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2422211 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 245.26$ · invest 162.81$
profit on prices without salesat least −142 $ rare inputs

P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163480 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074688 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2432651 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 245.09$ · invest 162.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −163 $ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2430023 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 244.41$ · invest 155.39$
profit on prices without salesat least −155 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2443677 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 244.00$ · invest 162.07$
profit on prices without salesat least −157 $ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163765 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074787 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2442540 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 243.77$ · invest 159.69$
profit on prices without salesat least −154 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166090 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075596 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2440701 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 242.98$ · invest 157.52$
profit on prices without salesat least −144 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2431890 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 242.53$ · invest 158.34$
profit on prices without salesat least −151 $ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2427778 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 241.61$ · invest 156.90$
profit on prices without salesat least −151 $ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2443513 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 241.25$ · invest 155.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −146 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162546 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074363 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2444129 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 236.35$ · invest 161.01$
profit on prices without salesat least −161 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2444204 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 231.22$ · invest 170.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −170 $ rare inputs

P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build