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The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1 527.38₸

Invest 2 366.84₸

Average return 3 894.22₸

ROI +64.5%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 5 921.43 ₸, profit at most −2 027.21 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Resupply

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

307.94 ₸

at 307.94

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

177.41 ₸

at 177.41

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1 881.50 ₸

at 235.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 366.84 ₸ +1 527.38 (+64.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

422.00 ₸

at 84.40

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Resupply

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

307.94 ₸

at 307.94

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

177.41 ₸

at 177.41

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

705.56 ₸

at 235.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 612.91 ₸ +708.24 (+43.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

506.40 ₸

at 84.40

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Resupply

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

307.94 ₸

at 307.94

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

177.41 ₸

at 177.41

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

470.38 ₸

at 235.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 462.12 ₸ +544.41 (+37.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

168.80 ₸

at 84.40

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Resupply

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

615.87 ₸

at 307.94

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

887.03 ₸

at 177.41

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

235.19 ₸

at 235.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 906.89 ₸ +1 043.48 (+54.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 33%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

9 915.72 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 410.59 ₸ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

2 559.91 ₸ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

3 474.36 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.039899

793.22 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.055929

1 346.02 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Sun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 683.94 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.066538

1 579.28 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

707.97 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +800.01 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 181.12 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2440002 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 678.52₸ · invest 2 403.46₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2442870 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 1 669.07₸ · invest 2 239.31₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2440435 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 667.60₸ · invest 2 293.45₸
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2441522 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 647.33₸ · invest 2 233.48₸
rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2423964 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 642.76₸ · invest 2 241.55₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2441895 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 640.52₸ · invest 2 228.56₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075061 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075061 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2417852 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 639.07₸ · invest 2 321.41₸
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2431530 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 622.49₸ · invest 2 431.09₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075002 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075002 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2426382 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 584.76₸ · invest 2 408.53₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New)
Craft 2418922 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 577.27₸ · invest 2 470.22₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074924 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074924 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2433771 · The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 543.98₸ · invest 2 447.71₸
rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build